Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.046957 0.054766 0.063458 0.073848 0.085932 0.099544 0.116047
2025-10-26 0.035148 0.045429 0.058074 0.074770 0.096241 0.122942 0.158704
2025-11-02 0.028704 0.040145 0.055340 0.076991 0.107067 0.147411 0.205730
2025-11-09 0.022938 0.034234 0.050213 0.074458 0.110341 0.161563 0.240400
2025-11-16 0.019387 0.030605 0.047359 0.074196 0.116147 0.179328 0.281972
2025-11-23 0.016578 0.027513 0.044658 0.073478 0.120781 0.195504 0.322888
2025-11-30 0.014788 0.025685 0.043541 0.074904 0.128709 0.217469 0.375545
2025-12-07 0.012932 0.023427 0.041342 0.074113 0.132685 0.233260 0.419769
2025-12-14 0.011201 0.021107 0.038676 0.072059 0.134054 0.244569 0.457409
2025-12-21 0.009749 0.019067 0.036197 0.069936 0.134893 0.254846 0.494235
2025-12-28 0.008972 0.018175 0.035680 0.071343 0.142386 0.278020 0.557954
2026-01-04 0.008180 0.017137 0.034733 0.071761 0.147957 0.298122 0.618140
2026-01-11 0.007438 0.016110 0.033710 0.071955 0.153248 0.318602 0.682422
2026-01-18 0.006868 0.015368 0.033166 0.073070 0.160598 0.344178 0.760806
2026-01-25 0.006458 0.014908 0.033146 0.075287 0.170558 0.376362 0.857550
2026-02-01 0.005715 0.013600 0.031125 0.072819 0.169890 0.385673 0.905003
2026-02-08 0.005227 0.012809 0.030144 0.072565 0.174160 0.406318 0.980843
2026-02-15 0.004764 0.012011 0.029039 0.071863 0.177276 0.424680 1.053686
2026-02-22 0.004482 0.011615 0.028823 0.073258 0.185567 0.456040 1.161840
2026-03-01 0.004101 0.010915 0.027786 0.072484 0.188416 0.474725 1.241081
2026-03-08 0.003694 0.010092 0.026337 0.070475 0.187875 0.485017 1.300346
2026-03-15 0.003327 0.009325 0.024935 0.068398 0.186884 0.494039 1.357481
2026-03-22 0.003157 0.009071 0.024833 0.069775 0.195246 0.528134 1.486091